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Red32
20016.8
177718.3
25608.7
Blue51
37929.7
235313.3
176417.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303802060801001201403251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1777
#18
18.30.0
14.714.7
Auto0.6
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 0.6
1764
#20
17.71.1
16.217.3
Auto1.4
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Second
2560
#38
8.70.0
10.610.5
Auto0.1
Teleop8.7
End0.0
blue by 4.5
2353
#40
13.31.1
7.18.1
Auto0.2
Teleop13.1
End0.0
Third
2001
#46
6.80.0
7.07.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop7.3
End0.0
blue by 2.9
3792
#45
9.71.1
14.815.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.9
End0.0