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Red90
547616.8
172330.0
495914.7
Blue99
352822.9
177526.9
464624.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326302040801001201401609099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1723
#10
30.04.3
12.817.1
Auto1.1
Teleop28.9
End0.0
red by 3.1
1775
#14
26.93.2
22.926.1
Auto0.0
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Second
5476
#11
16.84.3
13.317.6
Auto0.4
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 7.7
24.43.2
16.820.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Third
4959
#33
14.74.3
12.316.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 8.2
3528
#23
22.93.2
20.723.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.0
End0.0