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Red40
245728.8
199711.6
480916.8
Blue22
171017.0
23468.5
173718.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35300102040506070804022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.4
20.320.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 10.7
1737
#22
18.10.8
11.510.7
Auto0.5
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Second
4809
#15
16.80.4
7.98.3
Auto0.8
Teleop16.0
End0.0
blue by 0.2
1710
#43
17.00.8
11.911.1
Auto0.0
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
1997
#41
11.60.4
7.17.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.0
End0.0
red by 3.2
2346
#54
8.50.8
8.37.5
Auto0.0
Teleop8.4
End0.0