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Red122
180215.8
180652.3
199711.6
Blue96
235313.3
198721.3
176321.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions663705010015012296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.34.5
46.951.4
Auto1.1
Teleop51.2
End0.0
red by 31.0
1987
#26
21.34.6
18.322.9
Auto0.5
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Second
1802
#31
15.84.5
9.413.9
Auto0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
blue by 5.5
1763
#13
21.24.6
16.721.3
Auto0.4
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Third
1997
#41
11.64.5
7.512.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 1.6
2353
#40
13.34.6
8.112.7
Auto0.2
Teleop13.1
End0.0