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Red83
216418.8
93712.6
245728.8
Blue32
233515.8
44557.3
93815.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434001001502008332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.83.5
20.724.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 13.0
2335
#28
15.80.8
12.311.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.0
End0.0
Second
2164
#21
18.83.5
15.418.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 3.7
938
#24
15.10.8
18.517.7
Auto0.7
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
937
#39
12.63.5
8.211.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.8
End0.0
red by 5.3
4455
#36
7.30.8
11.010.3
Auto0.9
Teleop6.4
End0.0