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Red94
241033.4
132935.2
511913.2
Blue126
128815.7
181020.5
173066.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638305010015020025094126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.22.0
32.134.1
Auto1.2
Teleop34.0
End0.0
blue by 31.1
66.33.4
56.059.3
Auto9.5
Teleop56.8
End0.0
Second
33.42.0
28.030.0
Auto1.1
Teleop32.3
End0.0
red by 12.9
1810
#16
20.53.4
10.814.1
Auto-0.7
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
5119
#30
13.22.0
8.110.1
Auto0.9
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 2.5
1288
#29
15.73.4
16.119.5
Auto0.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0