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Red20
234511.2
235714.9
50829.3
Blue34
514112.4
287411.9
501321.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313902060801001201401602034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2357
#35
14.91.0
14.913.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.2
End0.0
blue by 6.5
5013
#17
21.40.4
20.620.2
Auto0.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Second
2345
#50
11.21.0
9.58.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.5
End0.0
blue by 1.2
5141
#47
12.40.4
11.711.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Third
5082
#42
9.31.0
9.07.9
Auto0.7
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 2.6
2874
#37
11.90.4
6.56.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.1
End0.0