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Red2
176417.7
19845.8
199711.6
Blue14
50829.3
18276.5
348510.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions401806080100120140214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1764
#20
17.72.2
18.916.8
Auto1.4
Teleop16.2
End0.0
red by 6.9
3485
#44
10.70.1
10.610.5
Auto0.8
Teleop10.0
End0.0
Second
1997
#41
11.62.2
12.09.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.0
End0.0
red by 2.3
5082
#42
9.30.1
7.97.8
Auto0.7
Teleop8.6
End0.0
Third
1984
#48
5.82.2
7.04.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.9
End0.0
blue by 0.6
1827
#49
6.50.1
3.33.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.7
End0.0