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Red5
17696.0
235714.9
25608.7
Blue76
233515.8
245728.8
181020.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25520406080100120140160576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2357
#35
14.91.8
13.912.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.2
End0.0
blue by 13.9
28.81.9
24.226.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Second
2560
#38
8.71.8
8.87.0
Auto0.1
Teleop8.7
End0.0
blue by 11.8
1810
#16
20.51.9
14.116.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
1769
#52
6.01.8
7.15.4
Auto0.2
Teleop5.8
End0.0
blue by 9.8
2335
#28
15.81.9
11.613.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.0
End0.0