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Red71
177526.9
50829.3
512615.6
Blue78
199711.6
234511.2
241033.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465002060801001201401607178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1775
#14
26.91.5
26.127.6
Auto0.0
Teleop26.9
End0.0
blue by 6.4
33.41.8
31.933.7
Auto1.1
Teleop32.3
End0.0
Second
5126
#12
15.61.5
14.115.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 4.0
1997
#41
11.61.8
9.811.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Third
5082
#42
9.31.5
7.89.3
Auto0.7
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 1.8
2345
#50
11.21.8
9.411.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.5
End0.0