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Red102
180652.3
25608.7
176417.7
Blue50
216418.8
547616.8
511913.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7943010015010250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.31.7
52.153.9
Auto1.1
Teleop51.2
End0.0
red by 33.5
2164
#21
18.80.0
19.619.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Second
1764
#20
17.71.7
16.818.5
Auto1.4
Teleop16.2
End0.0
red by 0.9
5476
#11
16.80.0
17.717.6
Auto0.4
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
2560
#38
8.71.7
7.08.7
Auto0.1
Teleop8.7
End0.0
blue by 4.5
5119
#30
13.20.0
13.313.2
Auto0.9
Teleop12.4
End0.0