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Red16
37929.7
44557.3
176321.2
Blue29
23468.5
348510.7
20016.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions462104060801001201401629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1763
#13
21.21.9
23.221.4
Auto0.4
Teleop20.9
End0.0
red by 10.5
3485
#44
10.70.2
10.510.7
Auto0.8
Teleop10.0
End0.0
Second
3792
#45
9.71.9
11.69.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.9
End0.0
red by 1.2
2346
#54
8.50.2
8.28.5
Auto0.0
Teleop8.4
End0.0
Third
4455
#36
7.31.9
9.27.3
Auto0.9
Teleop6.4
End0.0
red by 0.5
2001
#46
6.80.2
6.66.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop7.3
End0.0