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Red34
433031.3
493116.1
418715.0
Blue4
165857.1
506014.9
432922.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4831020406080100120140344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4330
#18
31.30.8
29.328.5
Auto0.7
Teleop30.6
End0.0
blue by 25.9
57.12.5
14.912.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop57.3
End0.0
Second
4931
#35
16.11.1
8.47.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 6.6
4329
#14
22.71.9
9.57.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.2
End0.0
Third
4187
#26
15.01.1
9.08.0
Auto0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 0.1
5060
#33
14.92.5
9.97.4
Auto0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0