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Red28
433112.9
532622.1
575824.7
Blue10
55835.7
240817.0
423112.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27250102040506070802810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5758
#17
24.716.0
24.78.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop25.1
End0.0
red by 7.7
2408
#24
17.01.5
11.29.7
Auto0.5
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Second
5326
#19
22.10.1
9.59.7
Auto0.9
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 9.6
4231
#36
12.51.5
8.36.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.8
End0.0
Third
4331
#38
12.90.1
8.58.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.1
End0.0
red by 7.1
5583
#43
5.71.3
5.77.0
Auto0.5
Teleop5.2
End0.0