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Red32
55835.7
117818.6
423214.3
Blue34
278342.7
493116.1
198524.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23380501001503234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1178
#28
18.60.5
6.87.3
Auto0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 24.2
42.70.2
11.311.1
Auto3.1
Teleop39.6
End0.0
Second
4232
#32
14.30.5
12.312.8
Auto0.5
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 10.1
1985
#22
24.40.2
18.217.9
Auto0.9
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Third
5583
#43
5.70.5
7.07.5
Auto0.5
Teleop5.2
End0.0
blue by 10.4
4931
#35
16.10.2
7.37.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0