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Qual 92015 St. Louis Regional
Red12
460014.9
514711.7
415426.7
Blue9
506014.9
144411.0
418715.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222105101525303540129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4154
#12
26.70.9
7.7→6.8
Auto1.1
Teleop25.7
End0.0
red by 11.8
4187
#26
15.01.1
8.0→6.9
Auto0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Second
4600
#37
14.90.9
8.0→7.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 0.1
5060
#33
14.91.1
7.4→6.3
Auto0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
5147
#34
11.70.9
6.9→6.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0
red by 0.7
1444
#40
11.01.1
6.6→5.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.2
End0.0