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Qual 82015 St. Louis Regional
Red83
283817.1
433031.3
433112.9
Blue91
547925.9
132932.4
328440.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions437601001502008391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4330
#18
31.31.9
28.5→30.4
Auto0.7
Teleop30.6
End0.0
blue by 9.6
3284
#7
40.91.0
28.3→29.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Second
2838
#20
17.12.8
12.1→14.9
Auto0.8
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 15.3
1329
#23
32.41.0
32.1→33.1
Auto0.6
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Third
4331
#38
12.92.8
8.6→11.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 13.0
5479
#8
25.91.5
13.1→14.5
Auto0.9
Teleop25.0
End0.0