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Qual 162015 St. Louis Regional
Red20
517627.3
198524.4
423214.3
Blue8
240817.0
339716.1
433112.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40310206080100208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5176
#16
27.31.7
9.8→8.0
Auto0.0
Teleop27.2
End0.0
red by 10.3
2408
#24
17.01.6
10.6→9.0
Auto0.5
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Second
1985
#22
24.41.7
17.9→16.2
Auto0.9
Teleop23.5
End0.0
red by 8.3
3397
#31
16.11.6
11.6→9.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
4232
#32
14.31.7
12.8→11.1
Auto0.5
Teleop13.8
End0.0
red by 1.4
4331
#38
12.91.6
11.4→9.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.1
End0.0