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Red33
42469.2
128821.3
386816.4
Blue44
117818.6
532622.1
170634.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355301001502002503344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1288
#29
21.30.3
13.713.4
Auto0.4
Teleop20.9
End0.0
blue by 13.3
1706
#13
34.60.4
33.132.7
Auto1.9
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Second
3868
#25
16.40.5
12.512.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 5.7
5326
#19
22.10.7
11.811.1
Auto0.9
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
4246
#39
9.20.5
13.012.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 9.4
1178
#28
18.60.7
7.36.6
Auto0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0