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Red97
425641.9
117818.6
388512.6
Blue79
132932.4
517627.3
575824.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405101001502002503009779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.92.7
27.029.7
Auto0.9
Teleop41.0
End0.0
red by 9.6
1329
#23
32.41.4
32.233.6
Auto0.6
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Second
1178
#28
18.64.5
6.611.1
Auto0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 8.7
5176
#16
27.32.3
8.010.4
Auto0.0
Teleop27.2
End0.0
Third
3885
#30
12.64.5
9.213.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 12.1
5758
#17
24.72.3
10.813.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop25.1
End0.0