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Qual 252015 St. Louis Regional
Red46
450043.4
144411.0
415426.7
Blue18
328440.9
435615.5
55835.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415501001502002503004618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4500
#4
43.40.1
26.6→26.7
Auto0.3
Teleop43.1
End0.0
red by 2.6
3284
#7
40.91.8
32.3→30.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Second
4154
#12
26.70.1
13.0→13.2
Auto1.1
Teleop25.7
End0.0
red by 11.2
4356
#27
15.53.0
15.9→12.9
Auto0.8
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Third
1444
#40
11.00.1
4.7→4.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.2
End0.0
red by 5.2
5583
#43
5.73.0
6.2→3.2
Auto0.5
Teleop5.2
End0.0