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Red109
198662.8
514711.7
388512.6
Blue119
278342.7
432922.7
517627.3
81%Model gave it19%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7633050100150200109119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.81.8
49.351.2
Auto8.2
Teleop54.7
End0.0
red by 20.1
42.76.5
17.123.6
Auto3.1
Teleop39.6
End0.0
Second
3885
#30
12.63.1
13.716.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 14.7
5176
#16
27.36.5
10.416.9
Auto0.0
Teleop27.2
End0.0
Third
5147
#34
11.73.1
9.012.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 11.1
4329
#14
22.73.9
13.217.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.2
End0.0