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Red80
433031.3
435615.5
198524.4
Blue42
297810.3
549225.6
386816.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5737020801001201408042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4330
#18
31.31.2
29.030.2
Auto0.7
Teleop30.6
End0.0
red by 5.7
5492
#10
25.60.0
17.617.6
Auto1.2
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Second
1985
#22
24.42.0
14.116.1
Auto0.9
Teleop23.5
End0.0
red by 8.0
3868
#25
16.40.0
12.212.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Third
4356
#27
15.52.0
12.914.9
Auto0.8
Teleop14.8
End0.0
red by 5.3
2978
#41
10.30.0
11.811.8
Auto0.0
Teleop10.3
End0.0