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Qual 412015 St. Louis Regional
Red4
297810.3
42469.2
575824.7
Blue16
532622.1
435615.5
339716.1
49%Model gave it51%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36410100150200250300350400416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5758
#17
24.71.8
16.5→14.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop25.1
End0.0
red by 2.6
5326
#19
22.11.6
15.3→13.7
Auto0.9
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Second
2978
#41
10.31.8
11.8→10.0
Auto0.0
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 5.8
3397
#31
16.11.6
11.3→9.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
4246
#39
9.21.8
9.6→7.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 6.4
4356
#27
15.51.6
14.9→13.2
Auto0.8
Teleop14.8
End0.0