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Qual 422015 St. Louis Regional
Red75
418715.0
517627.3
514711.7
Blue115
425641.9
55835.7
198524.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3350010015020025075115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5176
#16
27.33.2
16.9→20.1
Auto0.0
Teleop27.2
End0.0
blue by 14.6
4256
#3
41.93.3
30.7→34.0
Auto0.9
Teleop41.0
End0.0
Second
4187
#26
15.03.2
8.1→11.2
Auto0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 9.4
1985
#22
24.45.5
16.1→21.6
Auto0.9
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Third
5147
#34
11.73.2
12.1→15.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0
red by 5.9
5583
#43
5.75.5
2.3→7.7
Auto0.5
Teleop5.2
End0.0