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Red90
165857.1
297810.3
415426.7
Blue37
42469.2
328440.9
144411.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5945020801001201401609037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.13.6
35.539.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop57.3
End0.0
red by 16.3
40.90.6
31.430.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Second
4154
#12
26.73.6
13.717.3
Auto1.1
Teleop25.7
End0.0
red by 15.8
1444
#40
11.01.0
9.98.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.2
End0.0
Third
2978
#41
10.33.6
10.013.6
Auto0.0
Teleop10.3
End0.0
red by 1.1
4246
#39
9.21.0
7.76.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0