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Red134
425641.9
460014.9
450043.4
Blue148
198524.4
198662.8
93126.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6796050150200250134148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.43.0
30.333.2
Auto0.3
Teleop43.1
End0.0
blue by 19.4
62.82.6
50.653.2
Auto8.2
Teleop54.7
End0.0
Second
41.93.0
34.037.0
Auto0.9
Teleop41.0
End0.0
red by 15.7
931
#15
26.22.6
23.025.7
Auto1.9
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Third
4600
#37
14.95.0
10.115.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 9.4
1985
#22
24.44.4
21.626.0
Auto0.9
Teleop23.5
End0.0