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Red72
339716.1
128821.3
423112.5
Blue64
240817.0
435615.5
109427.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314301001507264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1288
#29
21.31.9
13.915.8
Auto0.4
Teleop20.9
End0.0
blue by 6.2
27.51.7
18.820.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop28.0
End0.0
Second
3397
#31
16.13.1
9.712.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 0.9
2408
#24
17.01.7
11.112.8
Auto0.5
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
4231
#36
12.53.1
10.813.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 3.0
4356
#27
15.51.7
13.215.0
Auto0.8
Teleop14.8
End0.0