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Red28
333018.8
419625.0
117818.6
Blue24
388512.6
386816.4
433031.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436201001502002824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4196
#11
25.01.6
16.114.5
Auto0.1
Teleop24.8
End0.0
blue by 6.3
4330
#18
31.31.9
31.329.4
Auto0.7
Teleop30.6
End0.0
Second
3330
#21
18.81.6
19.217.5
Auto2.2
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 2.4
3868
#25
16.43.1
12.29.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Third
1178
#28
18.61.6
12.410.8
Auto0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0
red by 5.9
3885
#30
12.63.1
18.115.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.0
End0.0