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Qual 512015 St. Louis Regional
Red80
433112.9
432922.7
144411.0
Blue58
283817.1
460014.9
198524.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306001001502008058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4329
#14
22.72.2
19.4→21.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.2
End0.0
blue by 1.6
1985
#22
24.40.0
26.0→26.1
Auto0.9
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Second
4331
#38
12.93.7
7.4→11.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 4.2
2838
#20
17.10.0
16.3→16.4
Auto0.8
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
1444
#40
11.03.4
8.9→12.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.2
End0.0
blue by 4.0
4600
#37
14.90.0
15.1→15.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop15.6
End0.0