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Qual 542015 St. Louis Regional
Red114
549225.6
117818.6
278342.7
Blue120
120847.6
297810.3
109427.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45810100150200114120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2783
#5
42.74.8
24.2→29.0
Auto3.1
Teleop39.6
End0.0
blue by 4.9
1208
#6
47.62.1
44.2→46.3
Auto0.7
Teleop46.9
End0.0
Second
5492
#10
25.64.8
17.5→22.3
Auto1.2
Teleop24.4
End0.0
blue by 1.9
1094
#9
27.53.2
20.5→23.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop28.0
End0.0
Third
1178
#28
18.64.8
10.8→15.6
Auto0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0
red by 8.3
2978
#41
10.33.2
13.6→16.8
Auto0.0
Teleop10.3
End0.0