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Qual 552015 St. Louis Regional
Red78
547925.9
450043.4
386816.4
Blue109
165857.1
517627.3
423112.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5273010015020025078109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4500
#4
43.41.0
33.2→34.3
Auto0.3
Teleop43.1
End0.0
blue by 13.7
1658
#2
57.12.9
39.1→41.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop57.3
End0.0
Second
5479
#8
25.91.6
15.2→16.8
Auto0.9
Teleop25.0
End0.0
blue by 1.4
5176
#16
27.32.9
19.3→22.2
Auto0.0
Teleop27.2
End0.0
Third
3868
#25
16.41.6
9.1→10.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop16.9
End0.0
red by 3.8
4231
#36
12.52.9
13.9→16.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.8
End0.0