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Qual 572015 St. Louis Regional
Red48
435615.5
425641.9
42469.2
Blue30
506014.9
433112.9
493116.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61310501001504830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4256
#3
41.90.5
37.0→36.5
Auto0.9
Teleop41.0
End0.0
red by 25.8
4931
#35
16.10.5
16.5→16.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Second
4356
#27
15.50.8
15.0→14.1
Auto0.8
Teleop14.8
End0.0
red by 0.7
5060
#33
14.90.5
8.9→8.4
Auto0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
4246
#39
9.20.8
6.7→5.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 3.7
4331
#38
12.90.5
11.1→10.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.1
End0.0