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Qual 582015 St. Louis Regional
Red130
415426.7
278342.7
44047.6
Blue142
419625.0
386816.4
165857.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45680100150200250130142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2783
#5
42.75.7
29.0→34.7
Auto3.1
Teleop39.6
End0.0
blue by 14.4
1658
#2
57.15.4
41.9→47.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop57.3
End0.0
Second
4154
#12
26.76.2
17.3→23.4
Auto1.1
Teleop25.7
End0.0
red by 1.8
4196
#11
25.05.8
14.5→20.3
Auto0.1
Teleop24.8
End0.0
Third
4404
#42
7.65.7
4.4→10.1
Auto0.8
Teleop6.8
End0.0
blue by 8.8
3868
#25
16.45.4
10.7→16.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop16.9
End0.0