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Red120
170634.6
460014.9
328440.9
Blue68
514711.7
198524.4
109427.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions805905010015012068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.92.0
33.235.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 13.3
27.50.3
23.824.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop28.0
End0.0
Second
1706
#13
34.62.0
31.433.4
Auto1.9
Teleop32.6
End0.0
red by 10.2
1985
#22
24.40.3
26.126.3
Auto0.9
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Third
4600
#37
14.92.9
15.118.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 3.3
5147
#34
11.70.3
14.715.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0