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Red92
549225.6
575824.7
493116.1
Blue6
423112.5
297810.3
433112.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554002080100120140926

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5492
#10
25.62.7
22.324.9
Auto1.2
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 12.8
4331
#38
12.92.8
10.67.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.1
End0.0
Second
5758
#17
24.72.7
16.619.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop25.1
End0.0
red by 12.1
4231
#36
12.52.8
16.814.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.8
End0.0
Third
4931
#35
16.12.7
16.018.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0
red by 5.8
2978
#41
10.32.8
16.814.0
Auto0.0
Teleop10.3
End0.0