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Red122
283817.1
435615.5
198662.8
Blue44
93126.2
388512.6
418715.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8749010015012244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.81.9
53.855.6
Auto8.2
Teleop54.7
End0.0
red by 36.6
931
#15
26.20.6
28.127.5
Auto1.9
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Second
2838
#20
17.12.7
16.419.1
Auto0.8
Teleop16.3
End0.0
red by 2.1
4187
#26
15.00.9
12.111.2
Auto0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
4356
#27
15.52.7
14.116.9
Auto0.8
Teleop14.8
End0.0
red by 2.9
3885
#30
12.60.9
16.115.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.0
End0.0