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Red82
55835.7
517627.3
532622.1
Blue100
506014.9
433031.3
419625.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4260010015020082100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5176
#16
27.32.6
22.224.8
Auto0.0
Teleop27.2
End0.0
blue by 4.0
4330
#18
31.32.0
30.332.3
Auto0.7
Teleop30.6
End0.0
Second
5326
#19
22.12.6
15.217.8
Auto0.9
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 2.9
4196
#11
25.03.0
20.323.3
Auto0.1
Teleop24.8
End0.0
Third
5583
#43
5.72.6
9.111.7
Auto0.5
Teleop5.2
End0.0
blue by 9.1
5060
#33
14.93.0
8.411.4
Auto0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0