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Red5
493116.1
435615.5
388512.6
Blue24
44047.6
433031.3
460014.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51590100150200250300524

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4931
#35
16.13.0
19.416.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 15.2
4330
#18
31.31.8
32.330.5
Auto0.7
Teleop30.6
End0.0
Second
4356
#27
15.53.0
19.016.0
Auto0.8
Teleop14.8
End0.0
red by 0.6
4600
#37
14.92.2
16.414.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Third
3885
#30
12.63.0
15.712.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.0
End0.0
red by 5.0
4404
#42
7.62.2
11.29.0
Auto0.8
Teleop6.8
End0.0