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Red111
547925.9
198662.8
532622.1
Blue95
198524.4
415426.7
120847.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9895608012014011195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.80.5
58.659.1
Auto8.2
Teleop54.7
End0.0
red by 15.2
47.60.2
46.346.1
Auto0.7
Teleop46.9
End0.0
Second
25.90.6
23.424.0
Auto0.9
Teleop25.0
End0.0
blue by 0.9
4154
#12
26.70.2
25.625.4
Auto1.1
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Third
5326
#19
22.10.6
18.819.4
Auto0.9
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 2.3
1985
#22
24.40.2
26.826.6
Auto0.9
Teleop23.5
End0.0