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Qual 782015 St. Louis Regional
Red16
144411.0
514711.7
339716.1
Blue42
117818.6
418715.0
423112.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434901001502002503003504001642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3397
#31
16.11.8
18.0→16.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 2.5
1178
#28
18.60.5
20.1→19.6
Auto0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Second
5147
#34
11.71.8
14.2→12.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 3.3
4187
#26
15.00.5
15.7→15.2
Auto0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
1444
#40
11.01.8
13.7→11.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.2
End0.0
blue by 1.6
4231
#36
12.50.5
14.5→14.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.8
End0.0