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Red98
93126.2
425641.9
506014.9
Blue134
433112.9
165857.1
109427.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7986020030040050098134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.90.8
38.339.0
Auto0.9
Teleop41.0
End0.0
blue by 15.2
57.12.8
52.054.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop57.3
End0.0
Second
931
#15
26.20.8
29.330.0
Auto1.9
Teleop24.4
End0.0
blue by 1.3
27.52.6
25.528.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop28.0
End0.0
Third
5060
#33
14.90.9
15.316.2
Auto0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 2.0
4331
#38
12.92.8
10.313.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.1
End0.0