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Red70
386816.4
132932.4
493116.1
Blue112
575824.7
423214.3
450043.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6077010015020025070112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1329
#23
32.40.3
32.332.5
Auto0.6
Teleop31.8
End0.0
blue by 11.0
43.41.7
42.243.9
Auto0.3
Teleop43.1
End0.0
Second
3868
#25
16.40.3
16.116.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 8.3
5758
#17
24.71.9
22.724.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop25.1
End0.0
Third
4931
#35
16.10.3
16.416.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0
red by 1.8
4232
#32
14.31.9
12.414.3
Auto0.5
Teleop13.8
End0.0