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Qual 822015 St. Louis Regional
Red113
549225.6
328440.9
433031.3
Blue204
425641.9
198662.8
278342.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80140050100200250300113204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
#7
40.91.3
37.6→39.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop41.1
End0.0
blue by 22.0
1986
#1
62.83.4
59.1→62.5
Auto8.2
Teleop54.7
End0.0
Second
4330
#18
31.31.3
30.5→31.8
Auto0.7
Teleop30.6
End0.0
blue by 11.4
2783
#5
42.73.8
37.3→41.1
Auto3.1
Teleop39.6
End0.0
Third
5492
#10
25.61.5
24.1→25.5
Auto1.2
Teleop24.4
End0.0
blue by 16.3
4256
#3
41.93.4
39.0→42.5
Auto0.9
Teleop41.0
End0.0