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Red73
339716.1
120847.6
388512.6
Blue50
433112.9
418715.0
415426.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions774701001507350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.60.1
46.146.0
Auto0.7
Teleop46.9
End0.0
red by 20.9
4154
#12
26.70.2
25.425.2
Auto1.1
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Second
3397
#31
16.10.1
16.216.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0
red by 1.1
4187
#26
15.00.2
15.215.0
Auto0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
3885
#30
12.60.1
12.712.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 0.3
4331
#38
12.90.2
13.112.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.1
End0.0