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Red130
240817.0
547925.9
165857.1
Blue42
514711.7
435615.5
419625.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9945015020025013042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.12.0
54.856.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop57.3
End0.0
red by 32.2
4196
#11
25.00.7
26.525.8
Auto0.1
Teleop24.8
End0.0
Second
25.92.0
24.026.0
Auto0.9
Teleop25.0
End0.0
red by 10.3
4356
#27
15.50.7
16.015.3
Auto0.8
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Third
2408
#24
17.02.0
15.017.0
Auto0.5
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 5.3
5147
#34
11.70.7
12.411.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0