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Red8
93126.2
283817.1
333018.8
Blue40
42469.2
117818.6
517627.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73540100150840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
#15
26.22.9
30.027.1
Auto1.9
Teleop24.4
End0.0
blue by 1.0
5176
#16
27.31.0
28.927.8
Auto0.0
Teleop27.2
End0.0
Second
3330
#21
18.83.3
22.018.8
Auto2.2
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 0.2
1178
#28
18.61.0
19.618.6
Auto0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Third
2838
#20
17.13.3
20.517.3
Auto0.8
Teleop16.3
End0.0
red by 7.9
4246
#39
9.21.0
10.29.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0