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Qual 862015 St. Louis Regional
Red30
297810.3
198524.4
506014.9
Blue68
128821.3
460014.9
532622.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5352304045505560653068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1985
#22
24.41.4
26.6→25.2
Auto0.9
Teleop23.5
End0.0
red by 2.3
5326
#19
22.10.8
19.4→20.2
Auto0.9
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Second
5060
#33
14.91.4
16.2→14.9
Auto0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 6.5
1288
#29
21.30.7
20.6→21.2
Auto0.4
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Third
2978
#41
10.31.4
11.6→10.3
Auto0.0
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 4.7
4600
#37
14.90.8
14.2→14.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop15.6
End0.0