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Red138
121860.8
19354.2
21945.6
Blue116
259058.2
167659.9
22231.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15714480100120180200220138116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.80.4
60.960.5
Auto0.6
Teleop60.2
End0.0
red by 0.9
59.90.6
60.559.9
Auto0.2
Teleop59.8
End0.0
Second
193
#4
54.20.4
54.354.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop54.3
End0.0
blue by 4.0
2590
#19
58.20.6
58.858.2
Auto0.8
Teleop57.4
End0.0
Third
219
#25
45.60.4
45.745.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.8
End0.0
red by 13.7
222
#35
31.90.6
32.431.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop32.1
End0.0