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Red110
42331.5
20347.9
272922.4
Blue120
164070.9
83430.0
48431.1
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92134050150200250110120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#17
47.90.4
47.648.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop48.2
End0.0
blue by 23.0
70.90.6
70.169.5
Auto0.0
Teleop70.9
End0.0
Second
423
#28
31.50.4
30.430.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.6
End0.0
red by 0.4
484
#47
31.10.6
31.731.1
Auto1.1
Teleop30.0
End0.0
Third
2729
#50
22.40.4
23.724.1
Auto0.2
Teleop22.2
End0.0
blue by 7.6
834
#42
30.00.6
30.630.0
Auto0.6
Teleop29.4
End0.0